The Decision
An NFL prospect knows that when the league comes calling, it may not call again.
So when the opportunity presents itself in the form of a draft projection following his junior season, it’s worth serious consideration.
Smith knew after a standout freshman season in 2013 that he stood a chance of becoming a first-round pick if he continued to perform at a high level through his junior year. That he did, earning Second Team All-America recognition by the Associated Press as a sophomore, followed by a consensus All-America season as a junior when he won the Butkus Award as the nation’s best linebacker. And though his stock took a hit after a knee injury in the 2015 Fiesta Bowl, Smith entered the 2016 NFL Draft and was taken with the second pick of the second round (34th overall) by the Dallas Cowboys.
Two years before, Niklas — a linebacker-turned-tight-end who made the Mackey Award Watch List as a junior with the Irish — took a similar path, going 54th overall to the Arizona Cardinals in the 2014 draft.
After a Heisman-caliber 2017 season, Adams also decided to forgo his remaining eligibility, eventually signing as a free agent with his hometown Philadelphia Eagles. In 2018, he led the Eagles, who advanced to the NFC Divisional Round, in rushing with 511 yards.
“I had to think about not only what was best for me, but best for my family,” Adams said. “ I just had to take a step back from football and think about what I really wanted. I felt like I gave the University everything I had, like I had worked my heart out and everyone around me supported me. Everybody at the University supported my decision, regardless of what it would be to leave or return, and that meant a lot.”
The decision to enter the NFL is as much a financial decision as an emotional one. Kyler Murray, the top pick of the 2019 draft, can expect to make $34.9 million over the course of a four-year rookie contract. The final pick of the draft is projected to sign a contract worth $2.6 million. Even as one’s earning potential drops the later in the draft they are chosen, there’s no denying that kind of money can be life-changing.